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Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Curt Schilling and Out of the Park Baseball

Reason 9,235,685 why Out of the Park Baseball is the greatest game ever: You get to interact with Curt Schilling who is an addict like so many of us. Schilling uses the name "Gehrig38" and frequents the message boards. He writes about dynasties he is building and talks to fellow addicts. Schilling has two great dynasties going on right now that you can read about. The first is a fictional league where he is the owner of the Chicago Iron Pigs.

The second dynasty he is writing about is based in 1950 with real MLB players making random debuts. The cool part about this dynasty is Curt Schilling is pitching in the dynasty that Curt Schilling is running. Schill also gives some great stories about his playing days including a funny story about Bob Horner.

Check out the second dynasty here.

I have always raved about the community of Out of the Park Baseball and Schilling being involved is one of them but just as important are great comments like the one before to make you not only how stats work in OOTP but also in the real game of baseball.

Obviously a + zone rating (ZR) is good. In my 25-year fictional league there are about 15 instances when a player has a +20 ZR in a seasons. So that is roughly the maximum. I think that a +10 ZR is often enough to be the seasonal best player at a position. 

The advantage of ZR in OOTP is that it can easily be combined with offensive VORP:

VORP+ZR= player overall value


Divide that by ten and you have WAR (wins above replacement)


For example you want your team to win 100 games, you need 55 WARs, because the replacement level is 45 wins (the number of games that a random bunch of AAAers are supposed to win at the MLB level). You have 25 players on your roster in order to compile 55 WARs, each player would have to contribute a little over 2 WARs or 20 VORP. So a great fielder with a +10 ZR (=VORP) has already half done half his duty by his fielding alone. 


On the other hand a bad fielder with a -10 ZR, has to carry quite a good bat to be a worthwhile player.



For those of you who still have not bought Out of the Park Baseball 13, it is on sale now for just $19.99. Download and buy it here


Remembering Gramps and Ted Williams

Over the weekend my grandfather would have turned 93 years old. He has been gone for over a decade now but still think about him all the time. He is one of the reasons why I became a Red Sox fan. He is also the main reason why I have such a fascination with Ted Williams. Teddy took his last at bat 14 years before I was ever born. I never got to see him play but my grandfather and father got to see him play live in Yankee Stadium. Here is the story of that weekend in New York City. I wish I could have been there.


Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Josh Hamilton to the Boston Red Sox?

The buzz has begun, the Red Sox appear to be in the hunt for Josh Hamilton. A few weeks ago I said that the Red Sox would be crazy to go after Zack Greinke or Josh Hamilton. I still feel the same away about Greinke but Hamilton has started to grow on me.

 I am kind of ashamed of myself. Haven't we learned this lesson before? Despite the past lessons, if the Red Sox announced that they had signed Josh Hamilton I would be excited. I am no better than the moron Red Sox fans who got all over Theo for his "bridge year" comments and then trashed Theo for over spending. So what should the Red Sox do?

 I think they should offer him big money over a shorter contract. If the Red Sox give in and give him 8 years at $160 million I will be sick to my stomach. However, if the Red Sox can sign him for 3 years at $90 million then it would be huge. It all depends on the market. The Sox did a great job with Mike Napoli and not giving in on that fourth year. What is the cut off point? Lucchino mentioned the Sox were done giving out contracts of over 5 years. Reports say the Red Sox will not offer Hamilton anything beyond 3 years.  I would start at 3 years $90 million and stand firm. If it appears the Sox will only be able to get him by adding a 4th year then I would probably give in.

If it doesn't work out they can always ask the Dodgers for bail out help in 2014.


Monday, December 3, 2012

Napoli, The Yankee Killer


Mike Napoli has signed with the Red Sox and this is good news Sox fans. It is amazing how Red Sox fans can bitch and moan over everything. The deal is only three years and a very reasonable $39 million. Napoli also just doesn't kill the Red Sox, he also beats up on the Yankees and the Rays. He is better in the second half of the season than he is in the first half of the season and his best months are September and October. He also is a guy who gets on base. His OBP is almost 100 points higher than his batting average and he has a career slugging percentage of .507. This is a guy the Red Sox can use.Smile Red Sox fans, this is good news.

Career vs Yankees:
.323.458.5591.017
Career vs Red Sox
288.379.6961.075
Career vs Rays
.267.374.533.907
Career at Fenway Park
.306.397.7101.107
Career at Yankee Stadium
.375.531.6251.156
Career in September/October
.293.386.6141.001