The Basement Bookie Handicapping Service

Friday, April 24, 2015

Baseball Free Pick of the Day: April 24, 2015

We have been hot and are looking to stay hot. Our free pick of the night takes us to New York.

Mets at Yankees

I have been riding the Yankees and have been telling everyone they are much better than anyone thinks. One of those reasons is Michael Pineda who takes the mound for the Yanks tonight. However, betting on baseball is all about value and the red hot Mets come in as pretty big underdog tonight even though they have Jacob deGrom pitching who is very underrated. This series and this game also means more to the Mets. They are trying to win over the city. I still like the Yanks this season but the correct bet is the Mets.

Pick of the Day  

Mets +127

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Thursday, April 23, 2015

Chris Rock on Blacks in Baseball

Is the future of baseball in trouble? Chris Rock uses humor and a lot of truth to talk about why black people no longer follow baseball and why baseball could have some issues in the future because of it.

Baseball Free Pick of the Day: April 23, 2015

We are off to a great start after a 3-1 day yesterday. Lots of afternoon games today and only one game really stands out.

Padres at Rockies

You have Tyson Ross going against Jordan Lyles on an afternoon getaway day. The over/under number sits 10.5 with the under at +100. This is normal for a game at Coors Field. However, if you are ever going to take the under at Coors Field this is the time to do it. Afternoon getaway days tend to be pitcher duels, throw in the fact that these are two pretty good pitchers and the value sits on the under bet.

Pick of the Day

Padres at Rockies, Take the Under at +100

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Is Major League Baseball Snubbing Roger Clemens?

I have come full circle and I am home again. It is good to see you Roger Clemens.

Roger Clemens was my boyhood hero. He could do no wrong. Roger didn't ask out of Game 6 of the 1986 World Series, John McNamara took him out against his will. Roger didn't leave Boston, Dan Duquette shoved him to Toronto. I always defended Roger especially against the likes of Will McDonough and his attacks on my hero who he labeled The Texas Con Man.

Then it all changed, Roger became a Yankee and then he started lying and lying and acting as if everyone was as dumb as he turned out to be. I would become a Roger Clemens basher and it was fun.

It is changing again and it has to do with Major League Baseball and their Franchise Four promotion they are doing for this year's All Star Game. In case you haven't heard, each baseball franchise has eight all time great players listed on an online ballot and the fans vote for the four best, The Franchise Four. You can also write in a player's name if he is not listed as one of the eight.

The other part of the voting is the Franchise Four; Greatest Living Players. The fans vote for this as well. MLB lists eight of the greatest living players on an online ballot and the fans decide which four are the best. There is also an area once again where you can write in a player's name who is not listed.

This will all culminate in what is sure to be a great ceremony at the All Star Game in Cincinnati this July and it appears that MLB wants nothing to do with Roger Clemens.

Roger Clemens is not listed on the ballot for the Boston Red Sox or The Greatest Living Players. Maybe his career doesn't measure up to be on either of those ballots? Let's take a look.

The Red Sox ballot consists of Dwight Evans, Carlton Fisk, Pedro Martinez, David Ortiz, Jim Rice, Ted Williams, Carl Yastrzemski and Cy Young.

Roger Clemens has the third highest WAR, while playing for the Red Sox, in Red Sox history. Only Yaz and Ted Williams amassed a higher WAR in their Red Sox careers.

The Greatest Living Players ballot consists of Hank Aaron, Johnny Bench, Rickey Henderson, Barry Bonds, Tom Seaver, Sandy Koufax, Pedro Martinez and Willie Mays.

Roger Clemens has a career WAR of 140.3 which puts him behind only Mays, Aaron and Bonds on the best career WAR among living players.

Maybe they are keeping him off the ballots as a way to punish him for the steroid issue, I would not have an issue with that except Barry Bonds shows up on three ballots. He is on the Greatest Living Players ballot along with the Giants and Pirates ballot. Is there really a difference between Bonds and Clemens? I actually think they have the same exact circumstances, both great players before they took PEDs and then they became immortal players thanks to their chemically enhanced numbers.

I hate to defend Roger but how can a guy with the 8th highest career WAR in MLB history along with the 9th most wins in baseball history not be on a single ballot? I know you can write his name in if you choose but not being listed puts him at a very distinct disadvantage. Has it been done on purpose? It seems so, yet Bonds doesn't seem to be getting the same treatment. Maybe this is MLB's way of making me a Roger Clemens fan again. I am back to defending The Rocket. So go write in his name in the name of justice, well...maybe we shouldn't use the word justice when defending Roger.

Baseball Free Pick of the Day: April 22, 2015

Yankees at Tigers

I hate having to repeatedly admit my praise for this 2015 Yankees team. They are better than people think and the underdog role they are in along with nobody taking them seriously has me really worried. Maybe if I keep stroking them in this blog it will have the reverse effect and they will become the team that all the experts believe they are going to be. Anyway, Adam Warren takes the ball tonight against David Price and the Yankees are huge underdogs. When it comes to betting on baseball it is really about the value of the pick. David Price is great but the Tigers bullpen is average. Warren will keep the Yanks in the game and this number is just too good to pass up on the Yankees.

Pick of the Day

Yankees +165

Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Baseball Free Pick of the Day: April 21, 2015

Red Sox at Rays

 Wade Miley has to be better than his last start and this is the time to get to the Rays before the injured players start coming back. Chris Archer is tough but I tend to like going with the Sox as underdogs.

Pick of the Day

Red Sox +113

Friday, April 17, 2015

Will Joe Kelly Struggle Tonight?

Joe Kelly was impressive in his first start of the season, but so was everyone else on the Red Sox staff. Kelly makes his second start tonight and you have to wonder if he will struggle like everyone else has in the Red Sox rotation this time through. There is hope that Joe Kelly could be that breakout pitcher this year along the lines of Corey Kluber of the Indians. Kelly is now using a slider, something he has not used since college and it was effective against the Yankees. It is a swing and miss pitch and might just be the missing ingredient for Kelly.

Don't count fantasy expert Derek Carty as someone who believes in Kelly tonight. Carty lists his most favorable lineups for daily fantasy leagues and he thinks tonight's matchup of Kelly vs Ubaldo Jimenez is going to produce a lot of runs. Carty selected two Orioles and one member of the Red Sox as guys you should look to have in your daily fantasy lineup tonight. Here is what Derek had to say:

High-priced hitters

Adam Jones ($5,300), OF, Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (Joe Kelly): Outside of Coors, there isn’t a better hitters’ park in baseball than Fenway. Jones is an unheralded superstar, particularly for DFS purposes, and may be worth paying up for on Friday.

David Ortiz ($4,700), 1B, Boston Red Sox versus Baltimore Orioles (Ubaldo Jimenez): Ortiz finally gets a matchup at home, in one of baseball’s best parks, against a weak righty. It’s his first such matchup of the year, and the kind DFS players will want to exploit.

Mid-priced hitters

Steve Pearce ($4,300), 1B/OF, Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (Joe Kelly): A park suited for OBP and batting average fits Pearce’s skills nicely. There will be plenty of opportunity for extra-base hits off the Green Monster given Pearce’s closed stance and extreme-pull tendency if Kelly elevates his pitches too much.