Friday, October 31, 2014

1975 Red Sox Simulation: Jackson, A's Blast Red Sox

Streaks were halted in Oakland as the Red Sox had their four game win streak end while the A’s ended their four game losing streak.

Glen Abbott shut down the Red Sox while Reggie Jackson crushed two home runs off of Rick Wise. Jackson would drive in four runs in a 6-1 Oakland win.


The game ends the Red Sox west coast road trip. They have a day off as they head home to take on the Royals in Fenway. Luis Tiant will face Steve Busby of Kansas City.




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Thursday, October 30, 2014

NFL Power Rankings and Predictions; Week 9

The power poll predictions went 8-7 last week raising the overall record to 58-46 for the season.

Here are the power rankings as we head into Week 9. The Steelers made the biggest move of the week with their domination of the Colts. Remember, these power rankings are based on yardage differential and the opponents played.

TeamPower NumberRank
Broncos102
Saints311
Seahawks75
Bengals-222
Lions311
Texans016
Packers016
Cardinals-526
Eagles84
Chargers311
Niners93
Patriots016
Panthers-121
Redskins114
Browns-1432
Bills58
Steelers131
Titans-1030
Jets58
Colts016
Bears-629
Ravens-423
Giants016
Falcons-526
Chiefs58
Raiders-423
Rams-526
Dolphins67
Vikings114
Cowboys-423
Bucs-1131
Jags75

Giving a three point boost to each home team, here are the predictions for Week 9 using the power numbers.

WEEK 9
AwayHomePredictorBet
SaintsPanthersSaints by 1Panthers +3
BroncosPatriotsBroncos by 7Broncos -3.5
BucsBrownsEvenBucs +7
CardinalsCowboysCowboys by 4Cowboys -3
EaglesTexansEagles by 5Eagles -2.5
JetsChiefsChiefs by 3Jets +10
JagsBengalsJags by 6Jags +11.5
ChargersDolphinsDolphins by 6Dolphins -1
RedskinsVikingsVikings by 3Vikings even
Rams49ersNiners by 17Niners -10
RaidersSeahawksSeahawks by 14Raiders +15
RavensSteelersSteelers by 20Steelers Even
ColtsGiantsGiants by 3Giants +3.5

58-46 for the season and 8-7 last week. Here are the predictions and results from a week ago

WEEK 8
AwayHomePredictorBetResult
ChargersBroncosBroncos by 20Broncos -8W
LionsFalconsLions by 3Falcons +4.5W
RamsChiefsChiefs by 26Chiefs -7W
TexansTitansTexans by 13Texans -3W
VikingsBuccaneersVikings by 1Vikings +3W
SeahawksPanthersSeahawks by 7Seahawks -5.5L
RavensBengalsRavens by 12Ravens -1L
DolphinsJagsDolphins by 11Dolphins -6W
BearsPatriotsPatriots by 3Bears +6L
BillsJetsJets by 9Jets -3L
EaglesCardinalsEvenEagles +2.5L
RaidersBrownsBrowns by 15Browns -7W
ColtsSteelersColts by 18Colts -3.5L
PackersSaintsSaints by 14Saints EvenW
RedskinsCowboysCowboys by 12Cowboys -10L
Week8 - 7
Season58 - 46 

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1975 Red Sox Simulation: Sox Run Win Streak to Four

The Red Sox are getting hot again and this time they went on the road beat the AL West leading Oakland A's 5-4. The Sox took a 4-1 lead into the 8th and could not hold it. Bert Campaneris had a huge bases clearing double off of Roger Moret to tie it. Reggie Cleveland was solid but tired giving way to a bullpen without the services of Dick Drago who needed a day off.

Carl Yastrzemski would drive in the go ahead run in the top of the 9th and Moret would get the A's in order to lock down the win.

The Sox pull within one game in the loss column of the first place Yankees in the AL East. Rick Wise will get the ball in the second game of the series in Oakland.





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Tuesday, October 28, 2014

NFL Betting Trends: Week 8

The underdogs had a losing record in Week 8 while posting a pretty good straight up number winning five games outright. The dogs still have a winning record for the season but the gap is getting smaller.

NFL Betting TrendsRecord
Week 8 Underdogs Record ATS7 - 8
Underdogs Overall Record ATS62 - 58 -1
Last Week8 - 7
Week 8 Underdogs Straight Up5 - 10
Underdogs Straight Up Overall39 - 81 - 1
Last Week4 - 11


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Thursday, October 23, 2014

NFL Power Rankings and Predictions: Week 8

The  Indianapolis Colts take over the top spot in the power rankings. Remember, these power ranking numbers are solely based on yardage differential and the opponents played and when you played them. Here are the power rankings heading into Week 8

TeamPower NumberRank
Broncos152
Saints86
Seahawks78
Bengals-1129
Lions014
Texans49
Packers-319
Cardinals014
Eagles311
Chargers-218
Niners95
Patriots-319
Panthers-319
Redskins-627
Browns-319
Bills213
Steelers-426
Titans-1331
Jets86
Colts171
Bears-319
Ravens49
Giants014
Falcons-319
Chiefs114
Raiders-1532
Rams-1230
Dolphins143
Vikings-319
Cowboys311
Bucs-728
Jags014

I wanted to do something a little different this week with the power rankings and add a prediction section. I have referenced this before but I wanted to share fully what I do each week to prepare for the games each week. The power number for each team in comparison with other teams is a real number in terms of how they should perform against each other. The only change you need to make is add three points for the home team. If you bet every game starting in Week 2 using the given point spread and the power ranking numbers you would have a record of 50-39. Here are the predictions for the games this week.

WEEK 8
AwayHomePredictorBet
ChargersBroncosBroncos by 20Broncos -8
LionsFalconsEvenFalcons +4.5
RamsChiefsChiefs by 26Chiefs -7
TexansTitansTexans by 13Texans -3
VikingsBuccaneersVikings by 1Vikings +3
SeahawksPanthersSeahawks by 7Seahawks -5.5
RavensBengalsRavens by 12Ravens -1
DolphinsJagsDolphins by 11Dolphins -6
BearsPatriotsPatriots by 3Bears +6
BillsJetsJets by 9Jets -3
EaglesCardinalsEvenEagles +2.5
RaidersBrownsBrowns by 15Browns -7
ColtsSteelersColts by 18Colts -3.5
PackersSaintsSaints by 14Saints Even
RedskinsCowboysCowboys by 12Cowboys -10

As you can see, the predictions are heavily sided to the favorites this week. That always raises a red flag to me since the key to winning by betting on the NFL is to take the underdogs. We will see how it all plays out.

Here is how it looked last week:

WEEK 7
AwayHomePredictorBetResult
JetsPatriotsPatriots by 22Patriots -10L
VikingsBillsBills by 11Bills -5.5L
GiantsCowboysCowboys by 25Cowboys -6.5W
FalconsRavensRavens by 13Ravens -7W
TitansRedskinsRedskins by 12Redskins -6L
SeahawksRamsRams by 11Rams +7W
BrownsJagsBrowns by 2Jags +6W
BengalsColtsColts by 17Colts -3.5W
DolphinsBearsBears by 19Bears -4L
SaintsLionsEvenSaints +3L
PanthersPackersPackers by 14Packers -7W
ChiefsChargersChargers by 3Chiefs +4W
CardinalsRaidersRaiders by 19Raiders +4L
NinersBroncosNiners by 2Niners +6.5L
TexansSteelersSteelers by 20Steelers -3.5W
Week8 - 7
Season50 - 39

Bet at 5dimes