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Thursday, November 20, 2014

NFL Power Rankings and Predictions: Week 12

The Patriots jump up into the #1 spot in the power rankings. The Broncos drop down to #2. Remember, these power rankings are based on yardage differential and opponents played only.

Here are the power rankings:

TeamPower NumberRank
Broncos102
Saints-830
Seahawks93
Bengals116
Lions48
Texans311
Packers48
Cardinals93
Eagles311
Chargers-527
Niners75
Patriots111
Panthers-221
Redskins-425
Browns-425
Bills311
Steelers75
Titans-221
Jets214
Colts-729
Bears48
Ravens018
Giants-221
Falcons-324
Chiefs018
Raiders-830
Rams214
Dolphins75
Vikings-1232
Cowboys116
Bucs018
Jags-527

The power ranking predictions are now 72-72 for the season after an horrific Week 11. They are due for a big week. Remember, home teams get a three point power ranking boost.

WEEK 12
AwayHomePredictorBet
ChiefsRaidersChiefs by 5Raiders +7.5
JetsBillsBills by 4Jets +4
LionsPatriotsPats by 10Pats -7
CowboysGiantsEvenGiants +3.5
BrownsFalconsFalcons by 4Falcons -3.5
TitansEaglesEagles by 8Titans +11
PackersVikingsPackers by 13Packers -10
JagsColtsColts by 1Jags +14
BengalsTexansTexans by 5Texans -1.5
BucsBearsBears by 7Bears -6
CardsSeahawksSeahawks by 4Cards +6.5
RamsChargersRams by 4Rams +4.5
DolphinsBroncosBroncos by 6Broncos +7.5
SkinsNinersNiners by 14Niners -9



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Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Running the Celtics

Draft Day Sports Basketball 3 is the best pro basketball GM simulation on the market. The game starts you out at the end of the 2011-2012 season and lets you choose which team to take over as their General Manager.

I decided to take over the Celtics. The Celtics just finished a season in which they lost in the Eastern Conference Finals to the eventual NBA Champion Miami Heat. The Celtics roster was getting old and decisions needed to be made, do you blow it all up and rebuild or do you take one more shot at the NBA title?

My goal was to do both, give the Celtics another shot at the title without it risking the future. The first step was the draft, The Celtics would have two first round picks and one second round pick, I attempted to move up in the draft to go after Harrison Barnes at #4. A deal with the Cavaliers could not be ironed out so we stood pat with our picks.

I took Royce White out of Iowa State with the 21st overall pick and Andrew Nicholson out of St. Bonaventure with the 22nd.

Royce White is a small forward with tremendous upside. In real life. he has been a bust as his many axiety disorders have pretty much ended his career. In our world, he has no such issues and could be a building block for years to come for the Celtics.

Nicholson is a power forward and could be the replacement for Kevin Garnett

In the second round, I drafted William Buford out of Ohio State, Buford is a shooting guard who is a viewed as a project with upside.

The next task was free agency. Kevin Garnett was not somone I wanted to bring back for the money that he wanted. He quickly signed with the Cavs for $12 million for just one year, I was shocked that it was just a one year deal. I may have been interested in that.

Ray Allen was the next piece and I decided to bring him back on a two year deal worth about $15 million, His deal will expire with Paul Pierce's deal now.

Roy Hibbert was my big free agent target, a guy I felt could be part of the present and the future, I offered him a max deal but the Pacers matched it.

I now had plenty of cap room but nobody in free agency I felt was a long term solution. I decided to go with players on short team deals or players on contract friendly deals.

Jeff Green was signed on a 3 year deal for $12 million. Greg Oden was signed to a two year deal worth $4 million and then I went ahead and signed several veteran players to one year deals worth $2 million. There players were as follows:

Steve Novak
Renaldo Balkman
Lamar Odom
Leandro Barbosa 
Leon Powe

I feel the roster is a solid one and can compete for the Atlantic Division title and be a force in the Eastern Conference, The issue will be health though, This is an old team with some injury concerns. If injuries do become a problem the Celtics could become a lottery team with a roster full of pieces to trade, It isn't perfect but overall I was pleased with the offseason moves.


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1975 Red Sox Simulation: Sox Fall in Extra Innings

Ken Holtzman entered the game with a 1,48 ERA but was greeted by Fred Lynn and Rick Burleson who homered on the first two pitches Holtzman would throw. Unfortunately for the Red Sox, Joe Rudi hit a three run homer in the top of the first off Reggie Cleveland.

The Sox would trail 3-2 after one inning and would never lead. The Red Sox had their best chance to win the game in the Bottom of the 9th with the game tied at 6 when Bernie Carbo was called on to pinch hit with two outs and men on the corner. Carbo had not had an at-bat in weeks and grounded out to third base.

The Red Sox would give up four runs in the top of the 12th and would drop the rubber game of the three game series with the A's by a score of 10-6.

Rick Burleson would homer twice in the game while Cecil Cooper would triple twice in the loss.





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NFL Betting Trends: Week 11


The underdogs improved from last week but could only manage a 7-7 record against the spread. Underdogs did win five games straight up, the most improbable coming when the Broncos fell to the Rams. The favorites still lead for the season against the spread.

NFL Betting TrendsRecord
Week 11 Underdogs Record ATS7 - 7
Underdogs Overall Record ATS78 - 80 -1
Last Week4 - 9
Week 11 Underdogs Straight Up5 - 9
Underdogs Straight Up Overall51 - 107 - 1
Last Week3 - 10

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1975 Red Sox Simulation: Red Sox Rally Past A's

A day after the Red Sox were pounded by the A's 16-5, they trailed 5-1 heading into the 7th inning facing Vida Blue when the Red Sox bats woke up.

Dwight Evans hit a two run homer followed by another two run homer by Fred Lynn tying the game at 5.

Dwight Evans would drive in the go ahead run the next inning off Rollie Fingers. Dick Drago would nail it down for Bill Lee who was not sharp for his second straight start.

Reggie Cleveland gets the ball for the Sox in the series finale. Ken Holtzman will take the ball for the A's. Holtzman has been sensational this season but has not been getting the run support. Holtzman sports a 1.48 ERA but just has a 5-3 record.




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Tuesday, November 18, 2014

1975 Red Sox Simulation: A's Blast Red Sox


The Oakland Athletics chased starter Luis Tiant early on their way to a 16-5 win over the Red Sox. The A's homered four times including two from Sal Bando. Reggie Jackson homered and drove in six runs. Bill Lee gets the ball tomorrow for the Sox and will face Vida Blue in the second game of the series




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Thursday, November 13, 2014

NFL Power Rankings and Predictions: Week 11


The Denver Broncos have moved into the top spot of the NFL Power Rankings. Remember, the power rankings are based only on yardage differential and opponents played.


TeamPower NumberRank
Broncos151
Saints94
Seahawks75
Bengals-1632
Lions122
Texans-523
Packers212
Cardinals212
Eagles48
Chargers-523
Niners48
Patriots117
Panthers311
Redskins212
Browns48
Bills56
Steelers122
Titans-626
Jets212
Colts212
Bears-729
Ravens020
Giants-626
Falcons-729
Chiefs117
Raiders-831
Rams-322
Dolphins56
Vikings-121
Cowboys117
Bucs-626
Jags-523

It was an awful week for Vegas last week as the underdogs were destroyed. It was also a very bad week for the power ranking predictions. Last week's 5-8 record brought the season record down to 70-60. Here are the Week 11 Power Ranking Predictions:


WEEK 11
AwayHomePredictorBet
BillsDolphinsDolphins by 3Bills +5
PatriotsColtsColts by 4Colts -2.5
NinersGiantsNiners by 7Niners -4.5
VikingsBearsVikings by 3Vikings +3.5
TexansBrownsBrowns by 12Browns -3.5
SeahawksChiefsSeahawks by 3Seahawks +1
FalconsPanthersPanthers by 13Panthers -1.5
BengalsSaintsSaints by 28Saints -7.5
BucsSkinsSkins by 11Skins -7.5
BroncosRamsBroncos by 15Broncos -10
RaidersChargersChargers by 6Raiders +10.5
EaglesPackersPackers by 1Eagles +6.5
LionsCardinalsLions by 7Lions +1.5
SteelersTitansSteelers by 15Steelers -6.5


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